CAFS
11.1
In 2015, the Scottish Government published its air quality strategy ‘Cleaner Air for Scotland – The Road to a Healthier Future’ (CAFS). CAFS brought together into a single framework a number of Government policies impacting on air quality, and sets out a series of 40 actions intended to deliver further air improvements.
11.2
One of the main intentions of CAFS was to provide the support required by local authorities (and others) to implement effective actions and to provide strong national and local political leadership to help deliver air quality improvements. One of the central components of CAFS was the development of two new technical frameworks, the National Modelling Framework (NMF) and the National Low Emissions Framework (NLEF). SEPA has been leading the development of the NMF and working closely with local authorities, providing technical assistance by developing robust air quality modelling, and the subsequent evidence, for the four initial cities (Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Dundee). The intention is that these outputs will provide some of the evidence required for the NLEF84.
11.3
The Scottish Government through CAFS, sought for the first time to bring together the major policy instruments concerning Air Quality and related policy areas (e.g. climate change, transport, planning, health) under one overarching strategy. However, during
the five-year lifespan of CAFS a number of the actions were not achieved85 and NO2 limit values continued to be exceeded in a number of locations.
CAFS2
11.4
On 15 July 2021, the Scottish Government published its new strategy for tackling poor air quality (Cleaner Air for Scotland 2 – Towards a Better Place for Everyone “CAFS2”). The new strategy set out a wide range of actions that will be taken by the Scottish Government to improve air quality.
11.5
Although the Scottish Government has committed to ensuring that all trunk and local roads which are required to be assessed by the methodology comply with European Union limit values, there is no specific timescale set for this, nor are there any timescales set for when the other actions will be taken. In ESS’ view a number of the other actions are aspirational in nature and do not contain sufficient detail to assess effectiveness. For example, ESS notes that CAFS2 does not outline specific time periods for proposals to be implemented and timescales to attain objectives, with the delivery plan merely referring to the specific actions as short- (2022), medium- (2024), and long-term (2026). There is also, in ESS’ view, insufficient detail and modelling of how it is likely that the proposed system will bring about compliance within the shortest time possible.
11.6
In view of this, further information was sought from the Scottish Government. The Scottish Government response confirmed that, under Section 88(2) of the 1995 Act, local authorities are required to have regard to any guidance (issued under Section 88(1)) by the Scottish Ministers when undertaking their LAQM duties. In this respect CAFS2 is considered by the Scottish Government to be statutory guidance for those elements of the strategy which local authorities have responsibility for delivering. Other than this, there is no legal status for CAFS2, although certain individual actions within the strategy may have their own legal requirements.
11.7
The Air Quality (Scotland) Regulations 2000, the Air Quality (Scotland) Amendment Regulations 2002 and the Air Quality (Scotland) Amendment Regulations 2016 set out the deadlines by which air quality objectives should be achieved by local authorities for the purposes of LAQM. Unlike the EU limit values, which Member States (and the UK under EU exit legislation) are legally obliged to meet, under the 1995 Act local authorities are required to demonstrate that they are doing all that is reasonably possible to work towards achieving the objectives. This is because local pollution sources are often outside the direct control of authorities e.g. trunk roads managed by Transport Scotland or industrial processes regulated by SEPA. There is for this reason an element of subjectivity in assessing progress towards compliance with the objectives.
11.8
CAFS and CAFS2, in conjunction with the existing legal instruments available, provide the mechanisms for necessary improvements in air quality in Scotland. CAFS and subsequently CAFS2 has placed a greater focus on delivering air quality improvements through evidence-based actions/measures and this is complemented by the existing LAQM regime. As part of this process ministerial and delivery groups were set up, with the ministerial group scheduled to meet twice yearly. ESS sought information regarding these groups from the Scottish Government. The response received advises that the first ministerial meeting took place on 8 December 2021, and
the second took place six months later, on 8 June 2022. The delivery group is scheduled to meet quarterly and has so far met on three occasions, including 1 December 2021, 9 March 2022 and 1 June 2022. As the groups are still in the early stages of their discussions, there are no specific outputs to date, other than to agree the terms of reference and the memberships. Discussions have focused on initial progress with implementing the CAFS2 actions and more general developments around air quality within the respective membership organisations.
11.9
An annual progress report will be published for CAFS2 summarising work on the various actions over the previous year. Members of the delivery group will contribute to the report, which will then be submitted to the ministerial group for approval. Once approved by the ministerial group, the report will be presented to the Scottish Parliament. Response information from the Scottish Government confirms that the first annual progress report86 was submitted and approved by the ministerial group during the June 2022 meeting. Confirmation has also been received, that this report has been submitted to Parliament on 13 June 2022, prior to the summer recess. In light of the above, ESS makes the following recommendation:
That CAFS2 is revised to include specific and measurable timescales for when compliance with NO2 limit values should be achieved.
Low Emission Zones
11.10
Transport-related sources of air pollution are the main cause of long-term and persistent exceedances in NO2 levels within urban areas of Scotland. Outwith CAFS, and to help tackle this issue, the Scottish Government committed to the introduction of LEZs into the four largest cities in Scotland. Scotland’s first LEZ was established in December 2018 in Glasgow87, with further LEZs planned for Aberdeen, Dundee and Edinburgh by 202488. Implementation of the LEZs was delayed due to the pandemic. In addition, other local authorities in Scotland with active AQMAs have undertaken assessments as part of their APR process (in accordance with the NLEF) to determine whether an LEZ would be an appropriate intervention in their areas. The 2020 APRs of these local authorities confirm that at present no further LEZs are anticipated. The two main objectives of the LEZ (along with other national and local measures) are to help achieve compliance with the air quality objectives, and to contribute to meeting climate change reduction targets.
11.11
Following the commitment of LEZ’s made by the Scottish Government in 2017, a three-tiered governance arrangement was established for the introduction of LEZs in Scotland. Whilst the Scottish Government sets the national framework for LEZs the responsibility for the overarching decision-making and development of LEZs falls to the individual local authority. To achieve greater insight into such arrangements ESS sought information from the four local authorities with forthcoming LEZs.
11.12
Response information received confirms that the four individual local authorities have followed the recommended Scottish Government requirements including: the 2019 NLEF guidance document89; Transport (Scotland) Act 201990; LEZ (Scotland) Regulations 202191; and the 2021 Transport Scotland LEZ Guidance document when developing their LEZ. During this process LEZ delivery groups were set up, and included external representatives from organisations such as SEPA, National Health Service (NHS), Tayside and Central Scotland Transport Partnership (TACTRAN), and Transport Scotland. The delivery groups were responsible for: guiding option development, testing and appraisal work; determining and implementing a communications and engagement strategy; and determining the options to be put forward to decision-makers (local authority committees) for approval at various stages
of the LEZ development process. Subsequently, the convenor for each committee would represent the individual local authority at the LEZ Leadership Group along with representatives of the Scottish Government, Transport Scotland, NHS, SEPA and senior councillors from the other LEZ cities. The role of the LEZ Leadership Group was to monitor and oversee the successful implementation of LEZs in the four Scottish cities.
11.13
Enforcement timelines (and associated grace periods) are again decided at the local level with the potential for a phased approach towards enforcement, as is being used by Glasgow City Council. The Transport (Scotland) Act 2019 offers ‘grace periods’ of no less than one and no more than four years. As such, local authorities have the autonomy to choose a grace period for their LEZ schemes and can use the powers provided by the Act to inform their own LEZ plans. A two-year grace period has been approved for the Dundee, Aberdeen and Edinburgh LEZ schemes, with enforcement commencing in May/June 2024. Glasgow proposes a one-year grace period for Phase 2 of its existing LEZ, a year ahead of the other cities (June 2023). However, residents of the zone are subject to an additional one-year grace period with enforcement for these vehicles beginning on 1 June 2024. Full enforcement for all vehicles will therefore commence at a similar time as the other three LEZ schemes. Once the LEZs are fully operational and enforceable from Summer 2024, response information received suggests that compliance with the NO2 air quality objectives are predicted to be achieved within the LEZ areas by that date. Therefore, the first full year where all four LEZs will apply to all vehicles is expected to be 2025, some three years from now.
11.14
During the investigation, ESS looked at the ways in which other cities across the UK have implemented the equivalent of LEZs, specifically with regards to discretionary ‘grace periods’ or soft enforcement approaches. Both the Bath and Birmingham Clean
Air Zones (CAZ)92, launched in 2021, offer exemptions and mitigations to reduce the negative impacts on groups identified as most likely to be affected (residents, low income workers and businesses) from CAZ implementation. In the case of the Birmingham CAZ (which includes cars) a longer exemption period of two years is offered to non-compliant private vehicles registered within the CAZ, in comparison to a one-year exemption for equivalent commercial vehicles and non-compliant private vehicles registered to low income workers (earning less than £30,000 p.a.) whose registered place of work is in the CAZ.93 Through this approach Birmingham City Council believe their CAZ balances the need to reduce the impact on individuals and businesses and deliver compliance in the shortest possible time94. This contrasts with the blanket two-year grace period (regardless of type of vehicle, use, income and purpose of journey) approved for the Aberdeen, Dundee and Edinburgh LEZs.
11.15
LEZ penalties are set nationally in legislation, within the Low Emission Zones (Emission Standards, Exemptions and Enforcement) (Scotland) Regulations 202195. Enforcement of the four LEZs will be undertaken by Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) cameras stationed at all boundary entry points. Local authorities are not currently penalised for not achieving compliance with the LEZ objectives. However, their plans to achieve compliance are subject to oversight by the Scottish Government and local authorities may be ordered to review and adjust their plans if they are deemed inadequate96.
11.16
The investigation has looked into the specific coverage of the proposed LEZs and mapped these against known hotspots of NO2 exceedances and declared AQMAs boundaries. As shown in Annexes 5 and 6, two of the four LEZs (Dundee and Edinburgh) fail to include all monitoring sites recording persistent exceedances of the annual mean objective and therefore raise questions over how local authorities plan to tackle these non-compliant areas falling outside the LEZ boundaries. Furthermore, ESS is also aware that following the prescribed modelling and consultation processes at least two local authorities (Aberdeen and Edinburgh) have reduced the scope of their LEZs, therefore information was sought from the relevant public authorities in this regard.
11.17
Modelling of LEZ scheme scenarios in all four cities has been undertaken by SEPA based on methodology established by the NMF. Local city model simulations have been developed utilising ADMS-Urban (a recognised air quality modelling software system that is used for modelling all aspects of air pollution across urban areas) supported by transport modelling to assess potential changes in pollutant concentrations resulting from different traffic scenarios. Detailed traffic data, as described in the NMF Pilot Study, was first collected in 2017 to generate the air quality model for each of the cities under the NMF. Further traffic counts were undertaken in 2019 in all four cities and more recently in 2022, counts were recorded in Dundee, Edinburgh and Glasgow. Additional data was collected in 2020 to model the impacts of the pandemic.
11.18
The data was collected using a selection of junction turn counts, automatic turn counts and ANPR detections to determine the 11 vehicle categories, fleet age and modal type. In addition, detailed information on the bus fleet was obtained including fleet age and service frequencies to reflect more accurately bus vehicle emission standards and to capture the emissions associated with all the categories of the vehicle fleet. All counts were undertaken by SEPA and Transport Scotland in conjunction with the local authorities, as part of the NMF. It is expected that this will continue following LEZ implementation to refine and validate the modelling and future
monitoring. SEPA confirm they are committed to developing a central approach to gathering existing traffic data and commissioning additional data collection to refine the above. In addition, Dundee City Council have also installed permanent Automatic Traffic Count (ATC) sites around the city to monitor traffic levels in air quality locations.
11.19
All LEZ boundary proposals were subject to an initial public and stakeholder consultation phase, in accordance with the criteria set out in the LEZ Regulations. The final LEZ scheme design proposal, including the boundary, was subject to another round of public and stakeholder engagement before submission to the Council Committees and Scottish Government Ministers for approval. Legislation requires that the boundaries and performance of the LEZ once introduced, shall be monitored and reported on annually. Should the LEZ be identified as not meeting the objectives set, the local authority is able to modify the scheme subject to approval by the Scottish Ministers.
11.20
Emissions modelling carried out by SEPA suggests that the introduction of the LEZs will significantly reduce NO2 and PM10 emissions from vehicles which will result in lower pollutant concentrations within the LEZs. In addition, a reduction in NO2 levels at locations outwith the LEZ areas is predicted to result mostly due to improvements in bus fleets operating on routes that extend outwith the LEZ area. For example, in Edinburgh it is predicted that there will be a reduction of NOx97 (noting NO2 is a form of NOx but doesn’t represent all NOx) emissions from traffic sources by 55% (equivalent to 25-30 tonnes/year) within the LEZ boundary, when compared to 2019 levels. For areas not covered by the LEZ, it is predicted that NOx emissions from traffic sources will decline by 15% when compared to 2019 levels. Overall, NOx emissions across the city model will decline by 20% (or 72 tonnes/year), when compared to 2019 levels. On several roads within the LEZ, NOx emissions are predicted to decline by over 50%, and on Princes Street NOx emissions are predicted to decline by over 75%. Although average concentrations are predicted to be reduced, information provided clearly states that “this does not necessarily mean that compliance will be met at all locations, especially on busy roads and junctions”98. In view of this, ESS agrees with the response provided by City of Edinburgh Council that “AQAP measures will need to take a holistic overview of providing further improvement”.
11.21
In the case of Glasgow, recent monitoring data available on the SAQD website (illustrated in Figure 10-1) highlights that in 2021, an exceedance of the annual mean NO2 objective was recorded at the Glasgow Kerbside automatic monitoring station99. This kerbside monitor is located on Hope Street, and the full length of Hope Street is included within the existing LEZ boundary of which phase one (buses only) has been in operation since 2018.
11.22
This LEZ will be extended to all other ‘polluting’ vehicles in 2024, where modelling results predict large reductions of NO2 inside the LEZ after full implementation. The response information from Glasgow City Council states that almost all predicted exceedances of the objectives will be removed. However, again some isolated exceedances are predicted to remain on key bus routes and near junctions, for example Hope Street. This is also true for Aberdeen, where exceedances are anticipated to remain on Bridge Street and Holburn Street, both of which are located within the approved LEZ boundary. In contrast, the information received from Dundee City Council anticipates that compliance will be achieved at all locations within the approved LEZ boundary.
11.23
Analysis of the information received from the responses highlights that localised and isolated exceedances are also expected to remain in areas outside the LEZ boundary both in Aberdeen and Edinburgh (see Annex 6), despite small overall decreases in NO2 concentrations due to the implementation of the LEZ. Likewise, in Dundee despite a slight overall improvement in levels within the city centre area, NO2 levels are not predicted to reduce to below the objective level at three existing monitoring locations outwith the LEZ area (Lochee and Loons Road and Dock Street). This forecast, in ESS’ view, is not surprising given the relatively limited coverage of the AQMA boundary by the LEZ (as illustrated in Annex 5) and concerns also arise regarding the potential for pollutant displacement to other areas. In contrast, the response information received from Glasgow City Council predicts that after its Phase 2 LEZ is fully operational, all areas outwith the LEZ boundary will be compliant with NO2 limit values.
11.24
In view of the above information, ESS agrees that LEZs are certainly a step in the right direction to achieving compliance with NO2 limit values in Scotland’s cities. However, the relative ‘effectiveness’ of LEZs as a standalone mitigation may be difficult to ascertain and should almost certainly be accompanied by other ambitious strategies to encourage behaviour change and the uptake of alternative sustainable transport options. There is strong evidence that air pollutants (including NO2) still cause harm to public health at concentrations well below legal limit values, highlighting the need for urgent action, and increased commitment and collaboration from all key players within this area. Accordingly, ESS makes the following recommendation:
That the recommended monitoring body has the remit to monitor the implementation and effectiveness of LEZs.
84 This has been completed, with NLEF guidance published in January 2019 (https://www.gov.scot/publications/nationallow-emission-framework/). The four cities proceeded with LEZ development with the NLEF being co-developed at the same time.
85 36 of the 40 CAFS actions were completed with the remaining four actions carried over into CAFS2.
86 *Cleaner_Air_for_Scotland_2_annual_progress_report_2021-22_June_2022.pdf (scottishairquality.scot)
87 This LEZ was only for buses, and will be expanded to include all vehicles by 2024.
88 Low Emission Zones Scotland | Transport Scotland
89 low-emission-zone-guidance-october-2021.pdf (transport.gov.scot)
90 Transport (Scotland) Act 2019 (legislation.gov.uk)
91 The Low Emission Zones (Scotland) Regulations 2021 (legislation.gov.uk)
92 A CAZ is similar to a LEZ however deterrence methods, charges and penalties vary between Scotland and England.
93 Applications open for Clean Air Zone exemption permits | Birmingham City Council
94 *Document.ashx (cmis.uk.com)
95 The Low Emission Zones (Emission Standards, Exemptions and Enforcement) (Scotland) Regulations 2021 (legislation.gov.uk)
96 low-emission-zone-guidance-october-2021.pdf (transport.gov.scot)
97 Nitrogen oxides (NOx) is a collective term used to refer to nitrogen monoxide (nitric oxide or NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2).
98 Response from City of Edinburgh Council
99 Scottish Air Quality Database Annual Report